Shares of DraftKings jumped 6.6% to $26.10 on June 1, sharply outpacing a listless broader market, after at least one analyst reiterated a bullish stance on the stock with pointed optimism about betting volumes tied to the 2026 FIFA World Cup, set to kick off across the U.S., Canada, and Mexico later this month. DraftKings Rides a World Cup Wave and Wall Street Cheers, but Is a Month of Soccer Enough to Fix a Slowing Growth Story?
Shares surged 6.6% to $26.10 as multiple analysts doubled down on bullish ratings and DraftKings positioned itself to capture a wave of betting demand from the FIFA World Cup, which kicks off June 11 on home soil. The rally cut against a flat broader market, marking this as a company-specific event — and raising the question of whether tournament excitement can offset a business that's decelerating faster than investors expected.
- Wall Street Sees $30–$43 of Upside, but the Stock Is Down 28% This Year
Citizens reiterated a Market Outperform rating with a $34 price target , while Truist Securities held a Buy at $30 and UBS maintained a Buy at $43 . Even the most conservative target implies roughly 15% upside from today's close. But context matters: the stock has declined 28% year-to-date , punished after management issued 2026 revenue guidance of $6.5–$6.9 billion, well below the Street's $7.3 billion consensus . Analyst optimism is notable, but it hasn't stopped the bleeding.
- The World Cup Is a Rare Home-Field Advantage for the Business
This is the first expanded World Cup, with 48 teams playing 104 games across U.S., Canadian, and Mexican venues — meaning weeks of prime-time betting inventory. DraftKings filed exchange products through the CFTC on May 22, positioning its prediction-market platform to offer game outcomes, player bets, and in-game wagering across all 104 matches . New Spanish-language functionality on the platform could widen the customer funnel significantly given soccer's Hispanic audience.
- Prediction Markets Are the Real Strategic Play
DraftKings plans to launch its proprietary exchange and in-house futures commission merchant in Q2 2026 , essentially creating a stock-market-style platform for sports and event outcomes. Management disclosed plans to spend $200–$300 million on customer acquisition in 2026 , with more of that spending now pulled forward into Q2 to capitalize on World Cup traffic. This is a bet that tournament-driven sign-ups convert into year-round users.
- Strong Q1 Numbers Buy Time, but Growth Is Clearly Slowing
Q1 revenue hit $1.65 billion, up 17% year-over-year, with net income of $21.1 million — a swing to profit. Yet after 27% revenue growth last year, guidance implies just 8–14% growth in 2026 . Monthly unique paying customers fell 4% to 4.2 million , though revenue per user rose 21% . DraftKings is squeezing more from fewer bettors — a strategy that works until it doesn't. The World Cup could refill that top of the funnel, but investors should watch whether summer sign-ups stick around once the final whistle blows.